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<h1>The Travels of the <br> Techno-Freedom-Fighter</h1>

The Travels of the
Techno-Freedom-Fighter

Polls Apart
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Well I have just read the Canberra Times polling article. The outcomes are not as good as I had hoped at 1% I am a statistical anomaly so my sister tells me. However they are no where near as gloomy as the Canberra Times predicts. There are two fundamentals that the Canberra Times and most political commentators ignore this is mainly due to them only caring about "picking a winner" and also through ignorance.

Months ago the "new" parties would not have rated at all and now they do. Also months ago most voters would have only indicated support for Labor, Liberal or Greens. The growth of support for the "others" will continue, as we get closer to polling day and voters (particularly the undecided) make more informed decisions. So the more unknown you are, the more likelihood of improvement, the only way I can go is up. :)

From the article there is somewhere between a 9% and 25% undecided response and the article says that these voters have been allocated to parties "according to which party the respondent would prefer formed government", which again inflates the Labor, Liberal and Green support. The undecided vote in pre-election polls predominantly goes to the smaller parties on polling day.

The Greens do seem to be doing remarkably well. And good on them! A third party is better that the two majors. Of course the greens have their faults which I won’t discuss in this post. However we will have to wait and see if the support for the Greens is real or not. If it is, then the Community Alliance will struggle, but it is likely that much of the Greens support at this stage is a protest vote, it means not Labor and not Liberal as the Greens are the next best recognized party.

The comment in the Canberra Times article about a coalition government is just uninformed crap! It just goes to show how little most of these ‘commentators’ know about the possibilities of our ACT Electoral System. The fantastic system here in the ACT allows the Assembly Members to choose a government without a coalition so why would Labor or Liberal make a non-party Member a Minister? And why would any party tie themselves into a non-flexible arrangement of having to support another party as government? Majority government whether as a coalition or not has the failings that are making Labor unpopular right now. I would be quite concerned about a Greens coalition government.








October 4, 2008 | 11:03 AM Comments  0 comments

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